Life On a Modern Planet: A manifesto for progress
Manchester University Press, 1995
An RDN comment on the 1995 reaction and some contemporary national
broadstreet features and reviews. I've posted the broadsheet material
because they are in archives not on open search (though available
to library ticket holders, etc.)
The Independent, feature by Nicholas Schoon
The Independent, review by Nicholas Schoon
The Times, feature by Mat Ridley
The Sunday Times, review by Jonathon Porritt
The Guardian, feature by John Vidal
RDN comment
In 1995, Manchester University Press published my Life On a Modern
Planet: A manifesto for progress. Fourth Estate had commissioned
it but turned it down when they saw the first printout. It was then
turned down by every academic and mainstream publisher I could think
of. Finally, Richard Purslow (of MUP) said he very much liked the
book, and that as a post-graduate student of environmental studies,
he had been wondering when a decent text on the subject would come
along.
You would not think so from the reviews, but my point all along
had been to write a sensible, well-informed, well-referenced account
of the realities of the human interaction with our planet. I wanted
to make it clear how misguided and off-point I thought most green
campaigning had been, but to do so in an unemotional way.
In 1995 there were as you will see below, two (and arguably three)
other new books along sceptical "anti-green" lines. The
books by Matt Ridley, Wilfred Beckerman and Gregg Easterbrook were
all useful and excellent in their own ways. Earlier, Julian Simon
(sometimes in partnership with Hermann Kahn) and John Maddox had
written very important sceptical books. In 2000, Bjorn Lomborg was
to produce a more limited but important statistical account in a
manner long pursued by Robin Bailey.
I will immodestly say that LOMP had a quality of its own. It looked
at the green case from technical, ecological, sociological and cultural
points of view. And it looked at the case for progress from similar
perspectives.
It doesn't matter, but I was bitterly disappointed by the book's
reception. It sold only 2000 copies. The real shock was to come
well after the reviews. Though there has been an academic industry
in environmentalism, and it is the underlying subject of many courses,
LOMP never succeeded in gaining a university audience. There are
two possibilities. Either, the book is a poor text, or the teachers
of these course are poor guides.
Several reviewers mentioned that I was "funded by ICI",
the chemical company, and that I must therefore have been biased.
I'll just repeat that they funded a few months' work in what was
a multi-year project. Their funding amounted to far less than my
usual source of funds: borrowing from my bank and very nearly going
bankrupt in the process. (Oh, and ICI absolutley insisted on having
no infuence over the work, as I of course spelled out in the book.)
Feature: End not nigh, says an old ecologist
The Independent on Sunday
by Nicholas Scoon
19 February 1995
'The Greens are robbing us of the pleasure of living'
THE Green movement is about to receive a broadside in the shape
of a damning book by one of its most informed insiders.
Richard D North, the former editor of a pioneering Green magazine,
Vole, argues that environmentalists have debased debate and made
a major contribution to the West's self-doubting, pessimistic culture
of contempt and blame.
He says they have repeatedly distorted the truth, exaggerated mankind's
threats and damage to the environment and, again and again, got
it plain wrong.
The Greens are not taking this lying down. One of the first things
they point out is that North, who was the Independent's environment
correspondent for four years until 1990, was paid several thousand
pounds by ICI, world- wide maker of chemicals, while he was writing
the book.
"The book must have been seriously compromised by that,"
said Chris Rose, programmes organiser with Greenpeace. He finds
it peppered with "feckless, specious rhetoric" and condemns
it as "an exercise in cynicism".
But the 48-year-old author, described by one leading Green journalist
as "the Paul Johnson of the environment", and whose colourful
career has sometimes been blighted by severe money worries, declares
his industrial sponsorship openly in the new book, Life on a Modern
Planet - a Manifesto for Progress.
"I'd rather take ICI's money than Greenpeace's any day,"
he said. "ICI produces products people want in a heavily regulated
environment. Greenpeace churns out an extremely skewed vision of
the world in a totally unregulated environment."
The book sets out to debunk many of the threats which Green organisations
have given the highest of profiles, and pooh-poohs some of their
most successful campaigns. Thus. . . whaling would have ended without
the Green campaigning which led to a moratorium, because the great
marine mammals were becoming so rare. North says the whalers would
have given up or gone broke, allowing whale populations to recover.
On tropical rainforests, North points out that "very few people
have found much use for it as it stands . . . and large areas could
be used perfectly well for other purposes". He accepts that
the jungles contain a vast diversity of millions of plant and animal
species, some of which could form the basis of important drugs and
other useful products. The answer is to ensure that the 10 per cent
of the forest richest in biodiversity is kept pristine.
His main theme is that people have every reason to be optimistic
about the future. The earth's population is almost certain to reach
10 billion halfway through the next century (it is 5.7 billion now),
and our main preoccupation should be with growing the global economy
to ensure decent life chances for the majority of those people.
Attacks on the Green movement so far have come mainly from right-wing
economists who lack understanding of the science underlying many
environmental concerns. But North has been immersed in the issues
for nearly 20 years, and his enemies do not dispute that he has
read widely and deeply, travelled extensively and spent hundreds
of hours talking to experts.
He accepts that there are severe environmental problems such as
over- exploitation of soil, forests and fresh water. But these are
almost all confined to the developing world and they can be solved.
The Green movement, he says, is guilty of sapping the West's faith
in itself and in progress, and thereby actually harming people's
quality of life. "This is the cheap, easy dissidence of the
well-governed, and it contributes to a destructive culture of contempt,"
he said during one of the brisk, circular country walks he takes
around his Herefordshire home almost every day.
"They encourage people to feel alienated in a culture which
has achieved so much. I like the West, I admire it, I believe in
the Enlightenment.
"We've allowed ourselves to be robbed of the pleasure of living
in the modern, industrial world and much of the pleasure which comes
from the natural world. We've been made to believe that only wilderness
represents true, beautiful nature when most of the world is a manscape.
But nature can co-exist with man and still be beautiful and exciting."
He rejects the argument that environmentalists have to exaggerate
to get anything done. "The one thing we have here in Britain
which we can share with the world is a high quality of debate, of
good-tempered, fair- minded argument. I'm fed up with the shrieking."
Always a sceptic, North became a critic of the Greens, especially
Greenpeace, after talking to civil servants and scientists from
universities, government and industry.
Leading environmentalists and Third World development experts will
debate his arguments at a seminar in London on 9 March.
Chris Rose of Greenpeace said: "There is a deep and well-founded
belief that Western industrial society is doing serious damage to
the world and that's not how people want the planet to be. They
really don't want ozone holes, air pollution, vanishing hedgerows,
and Greenpeace is an expression of that." of the world in a
totally unregulated environment'
The Independent's review
Life On a Modern Planet by Richard D North Manchester University
Press
The Independent
Nicholas Schoon
10 March 1995
Greenpeace et al probably won't welcome this book, but the rest
of us should. At last the case against the green movement is being
argued, convincingly and very readably, by someone from the inside
who knows his stuff rather than a passing politician or right-wing
economist.
Richard D North is quite wrong, however, in his central but never
explicitly stated message - that overall the greens have done more
harm than good. This tract is one long, intelligent, provocative
and very useful mistake which should be required reading for anyone
who wants to understand "the debate."
There is the occasional attempt to shock, to be seen to be politically
incorrect. My favourite example: "The one characteristic which
we can be sure of in Stone-Age cultures is that they have not had
one important new idea since the Ice Age."
But if you want fun cynicism la PJ O'Rourke, don't bother with
this. It is an earnest, discursive book, chock full of references.
Apart from chapter seven, devoted entirely to the chlorine industry,
it is saved from dullness by a turn of phrase, a literary niftiness
which long-term Independent readers may still remember - he was
the newspaper's first environment correspondent.
North exposes the near-universal misconception that nature is fragile
and delicately balanced. It is often in a natural state of flux
and is extraordinarily tough and opportunistic, which is why it
is quite effective at exploiting humanity and the massive environmental
changes we have made.
He makes us face the fact that the really important, life-and-death
environmental problems are in poor countries. The West already has
the technology and the wealth to tackle pollution and find substitutes
for finite natural resources, but in the Third World a lack of clean
water and clean air, of fuel wood and fertile soil, are everyday
killers of millions.
Green groups prefer, however, to channel much of their campaigning
energy into minor threats to Westerners with the world's best healthcare
and longest lifespans, or on exciting but less immediate threats
such as man- made global warming.
The unique selling proposition of the Greens is that we live in
a unique age - for the first time man-made environmental problems
are becoming global rather than local. Our population and technologies
for exploiting nature have reached a point where natural limits
stand to be breached and the resulting waves of destruction could
affect us all. North doubts this, claiming that technology can extend
the limits. North is an unashamed cultural imperialist, a celebrant
of the Enlightenment. "The Third World is crying out for much
which is at the heart of Western civilisation," he writes.
"The poor of the world have a greater need of Western industrialists
than of Western green dissent."
His mistake is to misunderstand how central and valuable that dissidence
is in our society. He may sincerely believe that Industry, Science
and Government (the capitals express his reverence for them) are
more sincere and effective environmentalists than the green campaigners
themselves, but he will have to excuse most of the rest of us.
Criticism and dissidence are cheap and easy in a democracy and
the campaigners have rarely been the first to identify a genuine
environmental problem. But, often in alliance with an equally irresponsible
media, they have started pushing and kept pushing on issue after
issue until government and industry have been forced to act. What
better, more recent example could there be than the scaling down
of the roads programme?
Environmentalists clamour, exaggerate, quote selectively and question
the good faith of their opponents - just like any other group of
serious campaigners facing serious opposition. North seems surprised
and hurt that they should behave in this way, and yet he is doing
pretty much the same thing. Life on a Modern Planet is itself a
welcome exercise in dissidence against fashionable green-ness.
Beware of the greens who cry wolf
Matt Ridley
The Times
25 March 1995
The past month has seen the coincidental publication of three books
critical of environmentalists. Richard North's Life on a Modern
Planet, Wilfred Beckerman's Small is Stupid and my own Down to Earth
have been seen in some quarters almost as a concerted backlash.
We have become the anti-greens.
This is horribly misleading. I think of myself as an environmentalist,
and from North's and Beckerman's books, it is clear that they do
too. That is why we share a revulsion at the hijacking of environmental
issues by extremists who seem prepared to tell alarming fibs to
get attention and market share in the competitive world of green
charity. We also believe that regulation, state interference and
centralisation are often the problem, not the solution; and that
growth and technology are often the solution, not the problem.
Consider just a few of the dire predictions of environmentalists
that have not come true. In 1968, Paul Ehrlich, a still respected
eco-guru at Stanford University, wrote: "The fight to feed
humanity is over. In the 1970s, the world will undergo famines hundreds
of millions of people are going to starve to death." Sixty-five
million Americans would die of famine in the 1980s, he predicted.
Per capita food production has risen; famine deaths have fallen
steadily and those that do occur are caused by wars, not population
pressure. Did Mr Ehrlich apologise?
In 1974, virtually everybody except the journalist Norman Macrae
said the world would effectively run out of oil before the end of
the century. Proven reserves of oil are now larger than ever before.
It will run out one day, but fleets of alternative fuels are queueing
up to take its place. Did anybody say they were wrong?
In 1976, three books predicted an imminent ice age and demanded
immediate action to stave it off. The author of one, Stephen Schneider,
has become a leading apocalyptic on global warming instead. He said
in an unguarded moment: "Scientists should consider stretching
the truth to get some broad-based support, to capture the public's
imagination... we have to offer up scary scenarios, make simplified
dramatic statements, and make little mention of any doubts we might
have." He did not say: "I was wrong..."
In 1983, virtually everybody agreed that one-third of the trees
in German forests were "dying" from acid rain. Not only
did far fewer die, but a ten-year American study concluded that
acid rain was not even at the top of the list of problems facing
forests. Did the greens admit their error?
These are just the global scares we have been subjected to. On
local ones, the greens have an even worse track record. The seals
of the North Sea were supposed to be dying from pollution in 1989;
they were actually suffering from a viral epidemic aided by high
population density. The Braer oil spill last year was supposed to
do irreparable damage to the wildlife of Shetland. Richard North
and I were the only journalists to predict (correctly) that the
effect would be minimal. Greens say that it takes extreme statements
to wake the public. Yet on none of the issues I have mentioned did
green organisations begin the debate. They merely leapt on to bandwagons
once they were moving. The truth is that the hyperbole is needed
in a market competition for funds. Whether the issue is ozone, climate
or ivory, moderate organisations have repeatedly seen their more
mendacious rivals collect large windfalls of attention and donations,
and have turned radical in response.
Scientists are also herd animals. On global warming, the attempt
to silence doubters has reached such a point that no less a figure
than the Vice-President of the United States, Al Gore, tried personally
to discredit a global-warming sceptic, Fred Singer, by calling a
television network and suggesting that Mr Singer was in the pay
of industry and should not be interviewed. The network, to its credit,
merely reported Mr Gore's intervention and interviewed Mr Singer
anyway.
Do the means matter if the end is virtuous? Alarmists appeal to
the "precautionary principle" better safe than sorry.
Yet, as Beckerman argues, if we always acted to avoid the slightest
risk, however uncertain, we would never get out of bed.
It is the imperviousness of the greens to such arguments that leads
some to suspect them of the hidden motive to reinvent socialism.
I think that, like all conspiracy theories, this is overdone, but
it is nonetheless noticeable how reluctant most greens are even
to consider environmental solutions that change the incentives for
private individuals rather than impose government regulations. Empire-building
bureaucrats love greens for this reason: they can rely on them to
send work their way.
The nationalisation of wildlife in Africa, for instance, is dressed
up as a protective measure. It is demonstrably the reverse, because
while it gives jobs to the bureaucracy it removes incentives for
local people to tolerate wildlife. Kenya banned hunting (ie, nationalised
game) in 1976; since then it has lost 85 per cent of its elephants.
Zimbabwe privatised wildlife in 1975; since then land devoted to
wildlife has almost doubled in acreage. It is the same in this country.
It is the Government that has made a mess of things by subsidising
farmers, foresters and old, heavy industry, and by regulations that
stifle innovation. Even by criminalising pollution in the 1960s,
the Government effectively made it free (so long as each polluter
did not exceed a certain threshold). Had it instead enabled the
civil law to work cheaply so that we could sue polluters, or had
it created a market in expensive pollution quotas, water and air
pollution would be far less today than they are.
I am an environmentalist. There are issues I wish we would take
more seriously, such as asthma, plastic litter, the decline of frogs
and the loss of untouched rainforest to government-encouraged development.
But I wish greens and lawmakers would try to devise real solutions
that work with the grain of human nature, rather than whizzing round
the world to glamorous conferences crying wolf about impending apocalypse.
The Times's review
Reasons to be cheerful?
Jonathon Porritt
The Sunday Times
12 March 1995
Life On A Modern Planet: A Manifesto For Progress by Richard D
North, Manchester Univ Press Pounds
Surprise, surprise: the world is not coming to an end. We can all
rest easy knowing that the apocalypse is postponed and dismiss those
pesky green doom-mongers for daring to suggest otherwise. That is
the central message of Richard D North's manifesto for progress.
And a fine, timely and uplifting message it is. The modern environment
movement is indisputably over-endowed with melancholics reacting
to Martyn Lewis (with his campaign for more good news) as a subversive
alien. There is insufficient recognition that things are changing
for the good and that they will change even faster if business people,
politicians and academics received a little more encouragement,
and a little more truthfulness, from environmental activists.
North gives us much of that "good news" on population,
food production, pollution, new technologies and so on. He directs
our attention to what he calls "the literature of hope",
highlighting books and papers which show just how many reasons there
are to be hopeful about the state of the earth. He rightly comments
on the resilience of natural systems, the inventiveness of free
markets, the unexplored potential of the human spirit. All in the
engaging, upbeat style of one of the best environmental journalists
of the past decade.
If that was what this book was all about, it would be great. But
it isn't. It is actually about North's loathing of the modern environment
movement, with all its exaggerations, distortions, blinkered dogmas,
spiritual deficiencies and inchoate romantic fantasies. There is
so much vitriol around that I felt I should have been wearing gloves
to turn some of the pages.
This is, of course, highly entertaining. And some of it is both
useful and fair. It's refreshing to see "the fundamentalism"
of some environmental organisations (who see a conspiracy behind
every consensus and a cop-out in every compromise) addressed head
on. Environmental organisations do, indeed, occasionally get it
fantastically wrong. And the adoption of a priori moral judgments
(ie, recycling is good, incineration is bad) which then remain beyond
the reach of reason, let alone new evidence and new technology,
does nobody interested in the environment any favours at all.
But, for one who spends much of the book extolling the benefits
of weighing that evidence, making balanced judgments and using reason
rather than emotion, North's own failure to live up to the standards
he asks of others may jar. His readiness to generalise pejoratively
about "the greens" is apparently limitless, and he studiously
sets up a series of green Aunt Sallys so that he can devote pages
to blowing them out of the water. Thus all greens are attributed
with certain views and slogans espoused in reality by a very small
minority.
For example, he claims, "self-sufficiency, the battle cry
of green thinking since the 1970s, is not something one can find
anywhere in the human record outside the mythology of desert islands
and hermitages". It is not something one can find in the vast
majority of green literature where the emphasis is far more on self-reliance
(doing as much as one reasonably can using one's own resources)
rather than self-sufficiency (using only one's own resources). In
this way, North plays up a host of "myths" about environmentalism
in exactly the same way that he excoriates environmentalists for
playing up myths about big business and government. The motivation
of individual environmentalists is constantly parodied and belittled
if they're not hippies, they're outright hypocrites. The contribution
of non-governmental organisations to increasing general awareness
and improving environmental policy is systematically overlooked.
And the fact that the vast majority of the positive ideas and solutions
(which North would have us believe sprang from him) sprang, in fact,
from the organisations he so enthusiastically reviles, inevitably
makes one question his motives. There is such an arrogance about
all this, such a lack of generosity, that one's attention is constantly
drawn from the more serious defects in North's analysis. While he
is undoubtedly right to challenge the often woolly values of the
green movement, he himself seems content to go on subscribing to
the kind of individualistic materialism that turned the 1980s into
a crass celebration of green self-interest. And, while he is equally
right to look to the business community for much of the human and
financial capital we shall need to effect the transformation to
a more secure world, does he have to do it quite so uncritically?
Harsher critics than myself have suggested that he has simply sold
his intellect to international capitalism in that the book was sponsored
by ICI and does indeed contain a lengthy panegyric about the miraculous
properties of chlorine and a host of assorted chemicals. And it
is true that the impression he seeks to convey is of business people
and politicians far-sightedly and impartially weighing up the facts
and acting with the utmost responsibility entirely unprompted, of
course to do right by the environment.
However, it is not international capital that North has sold his
intellect to, but dear old Pangloss. Whether it is on nuclear power,
biotechnology, soil erosion, deforestation, global warming or any
other contemporary environmental issue, he remains resolutely optimistic.
The irony is this: so am I, and so are many environmentalists who
now share his joy in the creativity and potential of our own species.
His core argument (that solutions to all our environmental problems
are out there waiting to be deployed) is absolutely right, which
is why I would unhesitatingly recommend this book to anyone looking
for an antidote to the residual gloominess of so many of the greens.
But he over-eggs a delicate pudding by traducing both the motives
and achievement of the greens, and by ignoring the fact that we
shall have to campaign just as vociferously to see those solutions
implemented as we have to see the pace of environmental destruction
slowed. Progress is indeed possible and sustainable but not without
continuing struggle and not with Pangloss as our patron saint.
Guardian feature
Apocalypse postponed Until now the greens have held the high
ground in the battle over the environment. But a small, shrill group
is challenging their orthodoxies. John Vidal reports on the Greenlash
John Vidal
The Guardian
16 March 1995
The end is not nigh. Relax. For 25 years we've been hoodwinked
by false and dangerous prophets of ecological apocalypse, seduced
by the siren calls of alarmists, peddlars of future gloom and the
psycho-babble of myth-makers predicting the imminent end of life
as we know it and telling us to change our ways.
Public, media, politicians and policy-makers have all naively marched
to the drum of hysterical millenarians and been told to fear global
warming, cooling, meltdown, famine and dire forecasts of resource
crisis. Problems? What problems, global or local, cannot humankind
sort out?
So run some of the more extreme arguments of the "Contrarians"
- a small but shrill group of largely New Right US scientists, politicians,
economists and industrialists whose arguments until now have mostly
been articulated in Britain by the Institute of Economic Affairs
and the likes of John Redwood and Teresa Gorman.
But they are intellectually buttressed this month by three more
sophisticated British writers: Wilfred Beckerman, a distinguished
but retired Oxford University economist who worked for the World
Bank and on the 1974 Royal Commission for Environmental Pollution;
Richard D North, a former environment correspondent with the Independent
and the Sunday Times; and Matt Ridley, scientist nephew of Lord
Ridley and a Sunday Telegraph columnist. Their books variously "blow
a whistle on the greens", argue that concern about the planet
"doesn't require modish pessimism", and offer "a
contrarian view".
For a multitude of political, philosophical, egotistical and academic
reasons, the contrarians broadly seek to regain the high ground
that they see liberal/left environmentalism now occupying or threatening
to colonise in the post-Cold War 1990s. Their eccentric voices are
generally valued as much-needed checks and balances by the more
sensible environmentalists but are predictably vilified by others.
The full venom of "Greenlash" - the environmental backlash
- is spat out at the pseudo-scientific scare stories made in the
late 1960s and 1970s and at the environment groups who began life
on them.
With hindsight the media-friendly "doomster" prophecies
- a new ice age, exhaustion of natural resources, population meltdown
- seem as quaint now as political and scientific forecasts of bright
confident mornings, nuclear power providing free electricity and
communism sweeping all before it. Here the contrarians are on certain,
if cheap, ground.
More recently they have turned to trying to deconstruct the vast,
still-growing academic edifice of "global warming" which
they see as the mother of all disaster theories. But as even the
professional climatologists will not say when it may happen or what
it will entail, the contrarians find the punchball flabby. It's
easier with holes in the ozone layer (yes, they're there but so
what? they ask) and statistics suggesting pollution is rising ("tosh").
If contradicting disaster theories is the bedrock of contrarianism
the fertilisers for the new ideological debate are the liberal/left
obsessions: development, social justice, equity, values, human rights,
morality, new economics, and ethics. The US contrarians, via industry
lobby groups and coalitions of ranchers, industrialists and small
farmers like the Wise Use Movement, argue that environmentalists
interfere deeply with personal liberty. They see fancy green ideas
like "inter-generational justice" and "environmental
rights" spreading into the upper reaches of western, and especially
global, governance.
Having just about squashed the old green heresy of "no economic
growth" they must now grapple with new Hydra-headed ideological
monsters like the "precautionary principle" and "sustainable
development". The professional contrarian equates these with
dressed-up socialism, woolly liberalism or, worse, an emerging new
post-humanist morality. They all muddy the pure waters of the brave
modern world of free-market economics which they mostly espouse.
Wilfred Beckerman smells moral and ethical injunctions everywhere.
He is not against protection but is incensed that society's "proper
objective" - what he defines as "highest feasible welfare"
- should be usurped. He writes: "Environmental issues should
be given proper place in the conduct of policy, but this can be
done without elevating 'sustainability' to the overriding criterion
of policy."
The fact that sustainability by any definition is barely on any
political agenda escapes Beckerman, but it does not stop the utilitarian
Balliol polemicist going genially ballistic: "The definition
of a straight line does not imply that there is any particular moral
virtue in always walking in staight lines . . . Most definitions
of sustainable development incorporate some ethical injunction without
any recognition of the need to demonstrate why that ethical injunction
is better than many others that one could think up."
Equally, he dismisses John Gummer's (and, yes, God and Prince Charles's)
injunction that we have responsibility to behave as stewards for
future generations as little more than a "top-level value judgment".
In a chapter of his excellently titled book, Small Is Stupid, he
argues (not unlike World Bank economist Laurence Summers, who wanted
the world's poorest to be sent as much toxic waste as possible on
the grounds that they did not live very long) that it is "far
from obvious" that future generations should have any rights
whatever. "How long is that time period? How much capital should
we leave intact for future generations?" he asks. It could
mean the end, say, of mining, he concludes.
But ethical and moral questions increasingly consume the contrarians.
Kent Jeffreys of the Washington-based Competitive Enterprise Institute
sees capitalism as a pure, almost mystic reconciliation of God and
Nature. It is, he says, a "moral force, flowing naturally from
respect for human liberty . . . there is a spiritual aspect to capitalism.
"The environmental debate has become a moral argument within
the Family of Man. The birds and the bees have yet to inform us
. . . of those sacrifices they are willing to make in return for
human survival. No viral democracy has voted to adopt a non-aggression
pact with humanity . . . to put it more bluntly: should we save
the whales or should we sell them?"
The answer from all contrarians - on surer ground with economics
than with morals or ecology - is sell them, on the basis that all
life is there for man's use. "No croc, no hornet, no weed,"
argues Jeffreys, "has foresworn interference with human life.
Only man can reason, so only man has the moral right to choose his
own environment." It is Jeffreys' ultimate ethical choice.
Michael 't Sas Rolfes, director of Afreco Investments, like most
rampant contrarians (come in John Redwood), believes Nature should
be privatised where possible - not necessarily for mankind, but
for its own protection. Rolfes argues that environmental problems
only arise where the free market is restricted by political interference.
Nature, he says, needs man. Look at the animal kingdom's true success
stories - the domesticated cow, the chicken and the pig. And then
compare their numbers to those of the wild rhino, gorilla or tiger
- down to a few hundred or less when left to themselves. QED.
North follows a tortuous path in debunking old green shibboleths,
coming up with what former environment secretary Chris Patten calls
"a sunburst of rational optimism". Describing himself
as "post-socialist and post-Luddite", North is unabashed
in his praise for industry.
North equates "western" with "progressive"
and, in brief, believes that western goodies - genetic engineering,
nuclear power, new technologies, free trade (not forgetting rigorous
science, social responsibility, democracy and transparency) will
provide for all. In time.
Yet he can be as politically innocent as some of the greens he
lambasts: "If we have, say, half a billion hungry people,"
says North, "and lots of food around, we will work out a way
of getting the food to the people if we want to." Most statistics
suggest there are already 1.3 billion destitute people who almost
everyone would like to see with a full belly, Richard.
While North, Beckerman and Ridley usefully expose many of the worst
green cliches, only the former qualifies the rampant excesses of
the American extremists, and is prepared to countenance the "precautionary
principle" - the notion of taking action to prevent something
dangerous - like, say, global warming - happening.
But for Beckerman (a "mere economist . . . trying to control
his natural instincts for a slanging match") this is intellectual
nonsense: "{The precautionary principle} is constantly invoked
as if it meant that as long as there is the remotest possibility
of serious harm in the distant future, we should take drastic action
now when it is very expensive and may soon be found to be unnecessary,"
he says.
And, like all political parties, no contrarian - least of all Beckerman
- sees much problem squaring even exponential economic growth with
a healthy environment. He ritually pulls out the chestnut that the
worst threat to the environment arises from poverty in the Third
World - an assertion easily disproved.
But the high priest of professional contrarians is Julian Symon,
economics professor at Maryland University. Symon has so long battled
the "dark forces of false prophets" that he has now demonised
all environmentalists, raising them to the level of Old Testament
figures (Isaiah, he says, was a typical environmentalist in his
concern about world and national affairs and the way he went round
barefoot and naked).
"The environmental prophets," wrote Symon recently in
World Future's magazine, "seize on every calamity - for instance
Exxon Valdez - as proof of our sinful ways. And like the biblical
prophets these doomsayers accuse us of an excess of worldliness,
and especially of enjoying the benefits of wealth."
Symon's is an old agenda, as "Luddite" as those whose
he would criticise, say environmental thinkers who increasingly
put prophecy on hold as they move into new social and quality-of-life
arenas.
But the prophecies still roll out, if not these days from environmentalists.
This week Cornell anthropologist David Price postulated the imminent
collapse of the Earth's human population in a few years' time. Applying
the Second Law of Thermodynamics to the world's population explosion,
he concludes that human multiplication is only possible because
of fossil fuel resources. As they are fast running out, so energy-gorged
homo sapiens will inevitably perish.
"Human beings are fulfilling their destiny," says Price.
That deep roar echoing round the jungle of western ideas comes from
Symon and the contrarians.
Life On A Modern Planet by Richard D North (Manchester Univ Press);
Small Is Stupid by Wilfred Beckerman (Duckworth); Down To Earth
by Matt Ridley (Institute of Economic Affairs/ Sunday Telegraph).
|